Target Selection, Escalation Dynamics, and Predictive Assessment
Scope: All six GCC member states
Period: February 28 – March 14, 2026
Entries: 43 documented strike events
Classification: Open-source intelligence (OSINT)
ABSTRACT
This paper applies contemporary military-strategic analytical frameworks — including Effects-Based Operations (EBO) analysis, Robert Pape's coercive air power theory, Schelling's escalation ladder, and target-set analysis methodology drawn from Joint…
